The Bureau of Reclamation is preserving the choice open to make use of reservoirs, together with Blue Mesa in Colorado, to stabilize Lake Mead and Lake Powell if their water ranges fall dangerously low.
The foundations that govern how water is saved and launched at lakes Mead and Powell, the 2 largest reservoirs within the Colorado River Basin, are set to run out in 2026. The federal authorities, basin states, Mexico and 30 tribal nations are navigating high-stakes negotiations in a multi-year effort to determine new guidelines.
Colorado water officers argued for the feds to take Blue Mesa and its two sister reservoirs, Navajo and Flaming Gorge, off the negotiating desk — particularly if releases find yourself supporting extreme water use within the Decrease Basin states, together with Arizona, California and Nevada. However Reclamation continues to be contemplating a number of choices that would embody the reservoirs in future Colorado River operations, in accordance to a 389-page scoping abstract launched Thursday.
“My concern with these Higher Basin reservoirs is the gradual creep of federal authority,” Commissioner Becky Mitchell, Colorado’s lead negotiator, instructed the Colorado River Drought Activity Pressure on Oct. 12. “We have to stand collectively and say that’s not what these are for — sustaining the use that we’re seeing within the Decrease Basin now shouldn’t be what these are for.”
Colorado and different Higher Basin states calculate that the Decrease Basin overdrew from the Colorado River Basin by greater than 1 million acre-feet every year between 2019 and 2021.
One acre-foot can present a 12 months’s value of water for about two typical city households.
The soon-expiring guidelines date again to 2007 and govern how water is saved in and launched from Lake Powell, on the Utah-Arizona border. Powell releases water to Lake Mead, on the Arizona-Nevada border, which manages its releases to supply for Decrease Basin water customers.
Are Lake Mead and Lake Powell operating out of water?
No. Nicely, not but. The 2 huge reservoirs are balancing between disaster and relative stability, and future hydrological situations may swing the reservoirs in both route. >> MORE
The 2 huge reservoirs are a part of a system of dams and reservoirs constructed alongside the 1,400-mile river that may retailer as much as 58.48 million acre-feet of water. Collectively, lakes Mead and Powell make up about 92% of that storage with a mixed capability of 53.9 million acre-feet.
If the water drops too low, dam infrastructure may be broken, or at sure ranges, the dams can’t launch water downstream — which might negatively influence ecosystems, crop manufacturing, electrical energy manufacturing and water safety for tens of millions of individuals.
The scoping abstract launched final week is one step within the lengthy effort to determine working guidelines for lakes Mead and Powell after 2026, a course of that began earlier this summer season. It outlines what choices the federal authorities is preserving on the desk because it and the basin states negotiate the ultimate guidelines for reservoir operations after 2026.
The scoping abstract can be used to create a draft plan, which may very well be accomplished by the top of 2024. The ultimate model of the plan may very well be out there in early 2026 and can go into impact in 2027, in line with a information launch.
Future emergency operations
One concept that Reclamation will contemplate is utilizing upstream reservoirs, like Blue Mesa, in momentary, emergency water releases to stabilize Mead and Powell if their water ranges fall too low, in line with the scoping abstract.

Blue Mesa, positioned on the Gunnison River in Colorado, a tributary of the Colorado River, is operated by the federal authorities as a part of the Aspinall Unit, which additionally consists of Crystal and Morrow Level dams.
The unit was initially constructed to generate electrical energy, enhance water storage capability and regulate streamflows. The reservoirs are additionally standard recreation spots, which helps assist native economies.
Drought-response contingency plans, which additionally expire in 2026, assigned one other responsibility to the Aspinall Unit: offering emergency releases of water to stabilize Lake Powell’s water ranges.
In 2021 and 2022, Mead and Powell teetered on the sting of a disaster when water ranges reached historic lows, and the river system’s complete water storage fell to 35% of its capability.
In response, Blue Mesa despatched 36,000 acre-feet of water, and Flaming Gorge, a reservoir on the Utah-Wyoming border, despatched 588,000 acre-feet downstream to shore up Powell’s depleted water ranges.
In November 2021, the reservoir held about 220,000 acre-feet of its 941,000 acre-foot capability; in November 2022, 282,000 acre-feet.
The emergency releases in 2021 set again some native companies round Blue Mesa, significantly in the course of the dry 2022 season. This 12 months’s wetter situations boosted morale, native companies and the reservoir nearer to its capability, in line with the Gunnison County Chamber of Commerce.
Blue Mesa saved about 608,000 acre-feet as of Sunday and peaked round 765,000 acre-feet in late June, in line with federal knowledge.
The Bureau of Reclamation attributed water provide insecurity within the Colorado River Basin to extended drought situations, decrease than regular runoff from rivers into reservoirs, and local weather change that’s inflicting aridification within the scoping abstract. Officers in Colorado — a part of the Higher Basin together with New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming — argue that overuse by Decrease Basin water customers is one other key issue.
Reclamation mentioned it can contemplate “upstream or downstream actions wanted to guard important reservoir elevations,” like momentary emergency response operations at upstream Colorado River dams, so long as the operations keep inside the guidelines that already govern every dam.
Employees members on the Nationwide Park Service really helpful towards utilizing the Aspinall Unit in future drought-response procedures — or if the dams are used, aligning water releases with the wants of endangered fish species, in line with feedback submitted in the course of the scoping course of.
The 2021 and 2022 emergency releases “decimated” the native recreation season by forcing the marina to shut and contributing to an algal bloom, Mitchell mentioned throughout an Aug. 29 Higher Colorado River Fee assembly.
If the basin plans to launch water from upstream reservoirs, like Blue Mesa, as a part of a Drought Response Operations Settlement, then the water needs to be used to assist stabilize important elevations at Lake Powell, she mentioned.
“The truth is that half of our DROA water despatched from these upstream reservoirs to Lake Powell was in the end launched,” Mitchell mentioned.
“Whole system storage”
Relating to defending important water elevations at Mead and Powell, Reclamation additionally mentioned it can contemplate “complete system storage in all main Colorado River reservoirs” to determine operations on the two key reservoirs.
That concept places some Colorado officers on edge.
Below present agreements, Higher Basin states have extra say in operations at Lake Powell and upstream dams, like Blue Mesa and the Aspinall dams, Flaming Gorge and Navajo Reservoir, on the Colorado-New Mexico border, all of that are a part of the federal Colorado River Storage Venture.
If the water storage in upstream reservoirs is lumped into the calculations with the Mead and Powell storage that govern reservoir operations, Colorado officers can be involved that it will be an indication of federal authority increasing, and would profit the Decrease Basin to the detriment of Higher Basin water customers and economies.
In a letter to the Bureau of Reclamation, Colorado and the opposite Higher Basin states argued that the principles “can’t modify” operations or data of resolution for Aspinall, Flaming Gorge and Navajo reservoirs, partially, as a result of Reclamation mentioned it will focus solely on operations at Mead and Powell when it launched this planning course of.
Some Colorado officers had been additionally involved that in occasions when the Decrease Basin used an excessive amount of water, Aspinall, Flaming Gorge and Navajo reservoirs may mainly be drained down, which may influence native recreation and economies.
Not everybody shared the identical issues. Bart Miller, wholesome rivers director at Western Useful resource Advocates, an environmental group, supported the concept of together with the upstream dams in complete system storage calculations.
“Wanting on the basin as a complete offers Reclamation extra flexibility in how and the place it retains water,” he wrote, including that extra holistic administration also needs to profit environmental assets just like the Grand Canyon.
Different water managers in Colorado are preserving an in depth eye on these developments, just like the Colorado River Water Conservation District and the Southwestern Water Conservation District, which collectively cowl the whole Western Slope. Steve Wolff, basic supervisor of Southwestern, didn’t have issues in regards to the scoping abstract.
“I feel Reclamation is basically simply attempting to go away the door open to a artistic answer that the seven states would possibly be capable to give you,” Wolff mentioned. “Perhaps some various that the seven states can give you might need some part of upstream storage or downstream storage inside it, they usually don’t wish to preclude that this early within the course of.”